A General Overvıew of Agrıcultural Measures That Can Be Taken to Reduces the Negatıve Effects That May Occur In Agrıculture Durıng the Adaptatıon Process to Global Clımate Change

Abstract

Agriculture and climate are two concepts that we cannot think of separately. It is inevitable that climate change will be a threat to the Mediterranean Basin and Turkey, which is a part of it, as it is all over the world. Changes in temperature and rainfall, extreme weather events, and changes in the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are risks not only in social areas such as ecology, economy, transportation and tourism, but also in the field of agricultural production.

"Climate Scenarios" have been developed by the General Directorate of Meteorology (MGM) in order to support the activities carried out within the scope of adaptation and combat against climate change for all sectors in our country.   By looking at the climate scenarios developed for various years using GFDL-ESM2M global climate model data and RegCM4.3.4 regional climate model, in the system considered, even in the most optimistic scenario (RCP4.5) for the years 2016-2040, the temperature will increase between 0.5°C and 1.5°C. It is estimated that there will be an increase between °C.   It is estimated that the effects will be more noticeable especially in the Aegean and Mediterranean Regions during the summer seasons when we will be exposed to a temperature increase of over 1.5°C. It is estimated that the effects will be more noticeable, especially in the Aegean and Mediterranean Regions, during the summer seasons when we will be exposed to temperature increases above 1.5°C. If we look at precipitation, an increase of around 10% is expected throughout our country, excluding Southeastern Anatolia, the Lakes Region and the Marmara Region, especially in the spring season, and a decrease of around 20% in precipitation is expected in the autumn. It is predicted that there will be a decrease in precipitation in most of our country during the winter period.

It is estimated that the effects will be more noticeable, especially in the Aegean and Mediterranean Regions, during the summer seasons when we will be exposed to temperature increases above 1.5°C. If we look at precipitation, an increase of around 10% is expected throughout our country, excluding Southeastern Anatolia, the Lakes Region and the Marmara Region, especially in the spring season, and a decrease of around 20% in precipitation is expected in the autumn. It is predicted that there will be a decrease in precipitation in most of our country during the winter period.